Goal expectancy
1.57Expected goals1.01
From 20 and 20 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensor Sporting 2-1 Danubio Prediction
Balanced — model leans Defensor Sporting
Estimated win chances: Defensor Sporting 50.3%, draw 25.3%, Danubio 24.4%. From 20 and 20 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
63BuildingDefensor Sporting
Weighted momentum
Defensor Sporting carries the sharper recent run (+20 momentum).
43MixedDanubio
Defensor Sporting · compact defense
Defensor Sporting
9W · 9D · 2LRecent →WWDWDDDWDLDWWWDWDWDL
Momentum index
Danubio
6W · 7D · 7LRecent →WLWWDDLLLLDLWDWDWLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDefensor Sporting +11
Defensor Sporting
36 pts45% wins
9W · 9D · 2L · 20 played
For35
Against16
Danubio
25 pts30% wins
6W · 7D · 7L · 20 played
For25
Against21
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Defensor Sporting offensive edge
Defensor Sporting's attack (62%) vs Danubio's defense (50%).
+12 - Danubio offensive edge
Danubio runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-12
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Defensor Sportingcompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Defensor Sporting0%
2Draws
0Danubio0%