Goal expectancy
1.36Expected goals0.89
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensor Sporting 0-2 Danubio Prediction
Defensive grind — model leans Defensor Sporting
Estimated win chances: Defensor Sporting 47.7%, draw 27.7%, Danubio 24.5%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedDefensor Sporting
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
53BuildingDanubio
Defensor Sporting · compact defenseDanubio · low scoring
Defensor Sporting
6W · 3D · 5LRecent →LLLWDWWWLWLDWD
Momentum index
Danubio
5W · 4D · 5LRecent →WLDWWDWDDLLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDefensor Sporting +2
Defensor Sporting
21 pts43% wins
6W · 3D · 5L · 14 played
For19
Against11
Danubio
19 pts36% wins
5W · 4D · 5L · 14 played
For13
Against14
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Defensor Sporting offensive edge
Defensor Sporting faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-9 - Danubio offensive edge
Danubio's attack (64%) vs Defensor Sporting's defense (55%).
+9
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Defensor Sportingcompact defense
Danubiolow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Defensor Sporting33%
2Draws
0Danubio0%