Defensor Sporting 1-1 Juventud Prediction

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
1 — 1FT
JuventudJuventud

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Defensor Sporting

Estimated win chances: Defensor Sporting 57.4%, draw 23.4%, Juventud 19.1%. From 4 and 4 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.75Expected goals0.90

From 4 and 4 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–012.8%
  • 1–111.5%
  • 2–011.2%
  • 2–110.1%
  • 0–07.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

89Hot streakDefensor Sporting
Weighted momentum

Defensor Sporting carries the sharper recent run (+56 momentum).

33Cold spellJuventud
Defensor Sporting · compact defense · hot formJuventud · Structured / conservative

Defensor Sporting

3W · 1D · 0L
Recent →WWWD
Momentum index

Juventud

1W · 1D · 2L
Recent →DLWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapDefensor Sporting +6

Defensor Sporting

10 pts
75% wins

3W · 1D · 0L · 4 played

For
12
Against
3
Goal diff +9

Juventud

4 pts
25% wins

1W · 1D · 2L · 4 played

For
1
Against
3
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Defensor Sporting offensive edge

    Defensor Sporting's attack (92%) vs Juventud's defense (50%).

    +42
  • Juventud offensive edge

    Juventud runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -42

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Defensor Sporting92
Juventud8

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Defensor Sporting50
Juventud50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Defensor Sporting89
Juventud33

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Defensor Sporting134
Juventud-34

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Defensor Sporting30
Juventud30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Defensor Sporting71
Juventud29

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Defensor Sporting0
Juventud0
Defensor Sportingcompact defense · hot form
JuventudStructured / conservative