Defensor Sporting 0-0 Penarol Prediction

Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting
0 — 0FT
PenarolPenarol
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

Defensor SportingDefensor SportingvsPenarolPenarol

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Defensor Sporting

Estimated win chances: Defensor Sporting 44.3%, draw 22.8%, Penarol 32.9%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.79Expected goals1.52

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–28%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–06.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

89Hot streakDefensor Sporting
Weighted momentum

Defensor Sporting carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).

72Hot streakPenarol
Defensor Sporting · compact defense · hot formPenarol · hot form

Defensor Sporting

4W · 1D · 0L
Recent →WWWDW
Momentum index

Penarol

4W · 0D · 1L
Recent →LWWWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapDefensor Sporting +1

Defensor Sporting

13 pts
80% wins

4W · 1D · 0L · 5 played

For
11
Against
4
Goal diff +7

Penarol

12 pts
80% wins

4W · 0D · 1L · 5 played

For
16
Against
8
Goal diff +8

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Defensor Sporting offensive edge

    Defensor Sporting's attack (41%) vs Penarol's defense (33%).

    +8
  • Penarol offensive edge

    Penarol runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -8

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Defensor Sporting41
Penarol59

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Defensor Sporting67
Penarol33

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Defensor Sporting89
Penarol72

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Defensor Sporting66
Penarol34

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Defensor Sporting30
Penarol32

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Defensor Sporting52
Penarol48

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Defensor Sporting0
Penarol0
Defensor Sportingcompact defense · hot form
Penarolhot form