Goal expectancy
1.20Expected goals1.47
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Deportivo Maldonado 0-2 Defensor Sporting Prediction
Balanced — model leans Defensor Sporting
Estimated win chances: Deportivo Maldonado 30.9%, draw 25.7%, Defensor Sporting 43.4%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellDeportivo Maldonado
Weighted momentum
Defensor Sporting arrives with stronger form weighting (+29 momentum).
63BuildingDefensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado · low scoring · cold form
Deportivo Maldonado
4W · 3D · 8LRecent →DLLWWDLLLLWDWLL
Momentum index
Defensor Sporting
8W · 4D · 3LRecent →WWLWWDLDWDWLDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDefensor Sporting +13
Deportivo Maldonado
15 pts27% wins
4W · 3D · 8L · 15 played
For14
Against19
Defensor Sporting
28 pts53% wins
8W · 4D · 3L · 15 played
For31
Against17
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Deportivo Maldonado offensive edge
Deportivo Maldonado faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-21 - Defensor Sporting offensive edge
Defensor Sporting's attack (71%) vs Deportivo Maldonado's defense (50%).
+21
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Deportivo Maldonadolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Deportivo Maldonado57%
3Draws
0Defensor Sporting0%