Key events
View all
QPR- C. Nelson
- M. Harness
DerbyFT 2–0
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Derby10%
- Draw45%
- QPR45%
Prematch market
No prematch 1X2 odds snapshot available.
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
Pride Park Stadium
Derby · England
- Address
- Pride Park, Royal Way
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 33597
Match
D. Webb
Round 9
- Referee
- D. Webb
- Round
- Round 9
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2024
- Dates
- 2024-08-09 → 2025-05-23
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
53%53%47%47%
Expected goals (xG)
1.0166%0.5234%
Total shots
1048%1152%
Shots on target
563%338%
Team form & competition
View all- #19Position
- 50Points
- 13-11-22W-D-L
- 48/56Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 0-2 / 4-0
- #15Position
- 56Points
- 14-14-18W-D-L
- 53/63Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 4-0 / 1-3
- Worst defeats
- 0-5 / 3-0
Head to head
View all7Derbywins
3Drawsmatches
7QPRwins
Recorded meetings: 17 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Derby 1–2 QPR
- Derby most goals
- Derby 2–0 QPR
- QPR most goals
- Derby 1–2 QPR
Derby created the clearer chances on xG (1.01 vs 0.52, Δ 0.49). QPR fired more attempts (11 vs 10 shots). Derby was more accurate in front of goal (50% on target vs 27%). Derby held more of the ball (53% possession).
Derby outperformed their xG by 1.0 goals (2 scored vs 1.01 xG). QPR underperformed their xG by 0.5 goals (0 scored vs 0.52 xG).