Key events
View all
Wrexham- S. Szmodics
- O. Rathbone
DerbyFT 1–1
Predictions & odds
View allModel outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Model blend
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
- Derby10%
- Draw45%
- Wrexham45%
Prematch market
Source: William Hill
- Derby31.6%
- Draw28.6%
- Wrexham39.8%
Live market
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Venue
Pride Park Stadium
Derby · England
- Address
- Pride Park, Royal Way
- Surface
- grass
- Capacity
- 33597
Match
Matt Donohue, England
Round 9
- Referee
- Matt Donohue, England
- Round
- Round 9
- Date
Competition
League · England
- Country
- England (GB-ENG)
- Season
- 2026
- Dates
- 2026-08-14 → 2027-05-01
Match statistics
View allKey metrics
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
45%45%55%55%
Expected goals (xG)
0.5630%1.3270%
Total shots
1043%1357%
Shots on target
457%343%
Team form & competition
View all- #23Position
- 6Points
- 1-3-6W-D-L
- 9/19Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 0-2
- Worst defeats
- 0-3 / 4-1
- #14Position
- 14Points
- 2-5-3W-D-L
- 11/15Goals F/A
- Best wins
- 2-1 / 0-3
- Worst defeats
- 1-2 / 6-0
Head to head
View all0Derbywins
1Drawsmatches
1Wrexhamwins
Recorded meetings: 2 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
- Highest scoring
- Derby 1–2 Wrexham
- Derby most goals
- Derby 1–2 Wrexham
- Wrexham most goals
- Derby 1–2 Wrexham
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Wrexham created the clearer chances on xG (0.56 vs 1.32, Δ 0.76). Wrexham fired more attempts (13 vs 10 shots). Derby was more accurate in front of goal (40% on target vs 23%). Wrexham held more of the ball (55% possession).
Derby outperformed their xG by 0.4 goals (1 scored vs 0.56 xG).