Derio 1-1 Deusto Prediction

DerioDerio
1 — 1FT
DeustoDeusto
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

DerioDeriovsDeustoDeusto

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Derio 34.8%, draw 28.5%, Deusto 36.7%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.12Expected goals1.16

From 14 and 14 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–113.5%
  • 0–112%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–010.4%
  • 1–27.8%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

23Cold spellDerio
Weighted momentum

Deusto arrives with stronger form weighting (+27 momentum).

50MixedDeusto
Derio · low scoring · cold formDeusto · compact defense

Derio

3W · 2D · 9L
Recent →DLLLWDLLLLLWWL
Momentum index

Deusto

5W · 5D · 4L
Recent →WLDWDDWWLLLDWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapDeusto +9

Derio

11 pts
21% wins

3W · 2D · 9L · 14 played

For
13
Against
19
Goal diff -6

Deusto

20 pts
36% wins

5W · 5D · 4L · 14 played

For
16
Against
13
Goal diff +3

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Derio offensive edge

    Derio faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -16
  • Deusto offensive edge

    Deusto's attack (60%) vs Derio's defense (44%).

    +16

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Derio40
Deusto60

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Derio44
Deusto56

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Derio23
Deusto50

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Derio18
Deusto82

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Derio30
Deusto30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Derio33
Deusto67

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Derio0
Deusto0
Deriolow scoring · cold form
Deustocompact defense