Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.04
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Derio
Estimated win chances: Derio 47.6%, draw 26%, Touring 26.4%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingDerio
Weighted momentum
Derio carries the sharper recent run (+15 momentum).
40MixedTouring
Derio
9W · 5D · 7LRecent →WDLWWWWLDWLLWDLLWLDWD
Momentum index
Touring
7W · 7D · 7LRecent →WLWDDLLDLLDLWDWDLWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDerio +4
Derio
32 pts43% wins
9W · 5D · 7L · 21 played
For25
Against24
Touring
28 pts33% wins
7W · 7D · 7L · 21 played
For24
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Derio offensive edge
Derio's attack (56%) vs Touring's defense (42%).
+14 - Touring offensive edge
Touring runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Derio33%
0Draws
2Touring67%