Goal expectancy
1.33Expected goals1.13
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Deusto
Estimated win chances: Deusto 41.2%, draw 27.1%, Basconia 31.7%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingDeusto
Weighted momentum
Basconia arrives with stronger form weighting (+14 momentum).
67BuildingBasconia
Deusto · compact defenseBasconia · hot form
Deusto
4W · 4D · 3LRecent →WDDWWLLLDWD
Momentum index
Basconia
6W · 2D · 3LRecent →WWWDWLLWLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBasconia +4
Deusto
16 pts36% wins
4W · 4D · 3L · 11 played
For13
Against10
Basconia
20 pts55% wins
6W · 2D · 3L · 11 played
For16
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Deusto offensive edge
Deusto's attack (47%) vs Basconia's defense (33%).
+14 - Basconia offensive edge
Basconia runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-14
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Deustocompact defense
Basconiahot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Deusto50%
3Draws
0Basconia0%