Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.19
From 24 and 24 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Deusto
Estimated win chances: Deusto 42.8%, draw 26%, Durango 31.2%. From 24 and 24 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedDeusto
Weighted momentum
Deusto carries the sharper recent run (+9 momentum).
40MixedDurango
Deusto
11W · 6D · 7LRecent →WLDLDDWLWLWWLLWDWWLWWWDD
Momentum index
Durango
6W · 8D · 10LRecent →WWDLDDDLWLLWWLLLLDDLLDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDeusto +13
Deusto
39 pts46% wins
11W · 6D · 7L · 24 played
For30
Against26
Durango
26 pts25% wins
6W · 8D · 10L · 24 played
For35
Against32
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Deusto offensive edge
Deusto faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - Durango offensive edge
Durango's attack (46%) vs Deusto's defense (31%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 7 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Deusto43%
2Draws
2Durango29%