Goal expectancy
1.02Expected goals0.91
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Deusto
Estimated win chances: Deusto 37.2%, draw 31.5%, Durango 31.4%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
53BuildingDeusto
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
47MixedDurango
Deusto · low scoringDurango · Structured / conservative
Deusto
4W · 3D · 5LRecent →WWDLWWDLLDLL
Momentum index
Durango
3W · 7D · 2LRecent →DWWLLDDDWDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +1
Deusto
15 pts33% wins
4W · 3D · 5L · 12 played
For10
Against12
Durango
16 pts25% wins
3W · 7D · 2L · 12 played
For8
Against8
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Deusto offensive edge
Deusto's attack (67%) vs Durango's defense (50%).
+17 - Durango offensive edge
Durango runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-17
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Deustolow scoring
DurangoStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Deusto38%
3Draws
2Durango25%