Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.26
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Dietikon
Estimated win chances: Dietikon 42.6%, draw 25.4%, Mendrisio 32.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
34Cold spellDietikon
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
29Cold spellMendrisio
Dietikon · cold formMendrisio · cold form
Dietikon
3W · 2D · 4LRecent →LDLWLDWLW
Momentum index
Mendrisio
1W · 5D · 3LRecent →DDLLWLDDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDietikon +3
Dietikon
11 pts33% wins
3W · 2D · 4L · 9 played
For12
Against14
Mendrisio
8 pts11% wins
1W · 5D · 3L · 9 played
For11
Against13
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dietikon offensive edge
Dietikon faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Mendrisio offensive edge
Mendrisio's attack (57%) vs Dietikon's defense (53%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dietikoncold form
Mendrisiocold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Dietikon100%
0Draws
0Mendrisio0%