Goal expectancy
1.24Expected goals1.73
From 14 and 14 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Dinamo Samarqand 0-0 Neftchi Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Neftchi
Estimated win chances: Dinamo Samarqand 27.5%, draw 23.7%, Neftchi 48.9%. From 14 and 14 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
57BuildingDinamo Samarqand
Weighted momentum
Neftchi arrives with stronger form weighting (+22 momentum).
79Hot streakNeftchi
Dinamo Samarqand · leaky defenseNeftchi · compact defense · hot form
Dinamo Samarqand
6W · 2D · 6LRecent →WWWWLDLLWLLDWL
Momentum index
Neftchi
11W · 2D · 1LRecent →DWWDWWWWLWWWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapNeftchi +15
Dinamo Samarqand
20 pts43% wins
6W · 2D · 6L · 14 played
For24
Against25
Neftchi
35 pts79% wins
11W · 2D · 1L · 14 played
For33
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dinamo Samarqand offensive edge
Dinamo Samarqand faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-22 - Neftchi offensive edge
Neftchi's attack (52%) vs Dinamo Samarqand's defense (30%).
+22
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dinamo Samarqandleaky defense
Neftchicompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Dinamo Samarqand40%
1Draws
5Neftchi50%