Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals0.69
From 19 and 19 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Douanes
Estimated win chances: Douanes 55.1%, draw 27%, Rahimo 17.9%. From 19 and 19 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
60BuildingDouanes
Weighted momentum
Douanes carries the sharper recent run (+16 momentum).
44MixedRahimo
Douanes · compact defenseRahimo · low scoring
Douanes
10W · 7D · 2LRecent →DDLWDWWDDWWWDWLWDWW
Momentum index
Rahimo
6W · 5D · 8LRecent →DWDDWLWLDWLLLWLLDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDouanes +14
Douanes
37 pts53% wins
10W · 7D · 2L · 19 played
For28
Against8
Rahimo
23 pts32% wins
6W · 5D · 8L · 19 played
For15
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Douanes offensive edge
Douanes faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-1 - Rahimo offensive edge
Rahimo runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
0
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Douanescompact defense
Rahimolow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Douanes40%
3Draws
0Rahimo0%