Goal expectancy
0.95Expected goals1.16
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Rahimo
Estimated win chances: Douanes 29.8%, draw 29.6%, Rahimo 40.5%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedDouanes
Weighted momentum
Rahimo arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
73Hot streakRahimo
Douanes · low scoringRahimo · compact defense · hot form
Douanes
5W · 7D · 3LRecent →LWLDWDWWDDDLDDW
Momentum index
Rahimo
9W · 6D · 0LRecent →WWDDWDWWWDDWDWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapRahimo +11
Douanes
22 pts33% wins
5W · 7D · 3L · 15 played
For14
Against15
Rahimo
33 pts60% wins
9W · 6D · 0L · 15 played
For23
Against7
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Douanes offensive edge
Douanes faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-31 - Rahimo offensive edge
Rahimo's attack (64%) vs Douanes's defense (33%).
+31
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Douaneslow scoring
Rahimocompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
5Douanes56%
4Draws
0Rahimo0%