Goal expectancy
0.98Expected goals0.97
From 13 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Douanes 34.6%, draw 31.3%, Usfa 34.1%. From 13 and 12 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedDouanes
Weighted momentum
Usfa arrives with stronger form weighting (+17 momentum).
65BuildingUsfa
Douanes · Structured / conservativeUsfa · Structured / conservative
Douanes
4W · 7D · 2LRecent →LDWDWWDDDLDDW
Momentum index
Usfa
6W · 3D · 3LRecent →WWDWWLDLWDWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Douanes
19 pts31% wins
4W · 7D · 2L · 13 played
For12
Against12
Usfa
21 pts50% wins
6W · 3D · 3L · 12 played
For12
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Douanes offensive edge
Douanes faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-42 - Usfa offensive edge
Usfa's attack (67%) vs Douanes's defense (25%).
+42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
DouanesStructured / conservative
UsfaStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 8 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
4Douanes50%
2Draws
2Usfa25%