Goal expectancy
1.60Expected goals1.06
From 13 and 13 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Dragons
Estimated win chances: Dragons 49.9%, draw 24.9%, Jak 25.2%. From 13 and 13 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
47MixedDragons
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
42MixedJak
Dragons · compact defenseJak · leaky defense
Dragons
4W · 6D · 3LRecent →DWDDWLDWLLDDW
Momentum index
Jak
4W · 5D · 4LRecent →DLWLWDDLWLDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDragons +1
Dragons
18 pts31% wins
4W · 6D · 3L · 13 played
For15
Against9
Jak
17 pts31% wins
4W · 5D · 4L · 13 played
For19
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dragons offensive edge
Dragons's attack (27%) vs Jak's defense (7%).
+20 - Jak offensive edge
Jak runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dragonscompact defense
Jakleaky defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Dragons67%
1Draws
0Jak0%