Goal expectancy
1.13Expected goals0.96
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Dragons
Estimated win chances: Dragons 39.4%, draw 29.9%, Jsp 30.7%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
74Hot streakDragons
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
67BuildingJsp
Dragons · compact defense · hot formJsp · Structured / conservative
Dragons
5W · 4D · 0LRecent →WWDDWWDWD
Momentum index
Jsp
4W · 5D · 0LRecent →WDWDWDWDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDragons +2
Dragons
19 pts56% wins
5W · 4D · 0L · 9 played
For13
Against8
Jsp
17 pts44% wins
4W · 5D · 0L · 9 played
For8
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dragons offensive edge
Dragons faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-20 - Jsp offensive edge
Jsp's attack (45%) vs Dragons's defense (25%).
+20
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dragonscompact defense · hot form
JspStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Dragons33%
2Draws
2Jsp33%