Goal expectancy
1.38Expected goals1.17
From 7 and 6 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Drancy
Estimated win chances: Drancy 41.7%, draw 26.5%, Calvi 31.8%. From 7 and 6 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellDrancy
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
27Cold spellCalvi
Drancy · low scoring · cold formCalvi · High-risk / fragile
Drancy
1W · 3D · 3LRecent →DLDDLWL
Momentum index
Calvi
1W · 2D · 3LRecent →DLLWDL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Drancy
6 pts14% wins
1W · 3D · 3L · 7 played
For5
Against7
Calvi
5 pts17% wins
1W · 2D · 3L · 6 played
For9
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Drancy offensive edge
Drancy faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-23 - Calvi offensive edge
Calvi's attack (80%) vs Drancy's defense (57%).
+23
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Drancylow scoring · cold form
CalviHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Drancy50%
1Draws
0Calvi0%