Dukagjini 1-0 Llapi Prediction

DukagjiniDukagjini
1 — 0FT
LlapiLlapi

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Llapi

Estimated win chances: Dukagjini 29%, draw 26.7%, Llapi 44.3%. From 8 and 8 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.08Expected goals1.40

From 8 and 8 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–112%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–29%
  • 0–08.5%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

21Cold spellDukagjini
Weighted momentum

Llapi arrives with stronger form weighting (+41 momentum).

62BuildingLlapi
Dukagjini · High-risk / fragileLlapi · compact defense

Dukagjini

2W · 0D · 6L
Recent →LLLLWWLL
Momentum index

Llapi

4W · 2D · 2L
Recent →DWWWLLWD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLlapi +8

Dukagjini

6 pts
25% wins

2W · 0D · 6L · 8 played

For
7
Against
16
Goal diff -9

Llapi

14 pts
50% wins

4W · 2D · 2L · 8 played

For
10
Against
5
Goal diff +5

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Dukagjini offensive edge

    Dukagjini faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -41
  • Llapi offensive edge

    Llapi's attack (64%) vs Dukagjini's defense (23%).

    +41

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Dukagjini36
Llapi64

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Dukagjini23
Llapi77

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Dukagjini21
Llapi62

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Dukagjini-32
Llapi132

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Dukagjini41
Llapi30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Dukagjini23
Llapi77

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Dukagjini25
Llapi75
DukagjiniHigh-risk / fragile
Llapicompact defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Dukagjini0%
1Draws
0Llapi0%

Recent meetings