Dumbarton 4-2 Raith Rovers Prediction

DumbartonDumbarton
4 — 2FT
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

DumbartonDumbartonvsRaith RoversRaith Rovers

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Raith Rovers

Estimated win chances: Dumbarton 35.7%, draw 23.5%, Raith Rovers 40.8%. From 27 and 27 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.65

From 27 and 27 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–17.2%
  • 2–26.9%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

40MixedDumbarton
Weighted momentum

Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.

38Cold spellRaith Rovers
Dumbarton · leaky defenseRaith Rovers · cold form

Dumbarton

8W · 3D · 16L
Recent →WLLDLLWLWWWLWWLLWLLDLDLLLLL
Momentum index

Raith Rovers

8W · 10D · 9L
Recent →WDLDDWLLLWLDLDDLWWDDDLWLDWW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapRaith Rovers +7

Dumbarton

27 pts
30% wins

8W · 3D · 16L · 27 played

For
39
Against
68
Goal diff -29

Raith Rovers

34 pts
30% wins

8W · 10D · 9L · 27 played

For
36
Against
37
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Dumbarton offensive edge

    Dumbarton faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -13
  • Raith Rovers offensive edge

    Raith Rovers's attack (45%) vs Dumbarton's defense (32%).

    +13

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Dumbarton55
Raith Rovers45

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Dumbarton32
Raith Rovers68

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Dumbarton40
Raith Rovers38

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Dumbarton24
Raith Rovers76

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Dumbarton52
Raith Rovers30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Dumbarton40
Raith Rovers60

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Dumbarton20
Raith Rovers80
Dumbartonleaky defense
Raith Roverscold form