Dunav Ruse 2-0 Septemvri Sofia Prediction

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse
2 — 0FT
Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — too close to call

Estimated win chances: Dunav Ruse 38.6%, draw 25.6%, Septemvri Sofia 35.8%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.40Expected goals1.34

From 5 and 5 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–09.3%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–28.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

16Cold spellDunav Ruse
Weighted momentum

Septemvri Sofia arrives with stronger form weighting (+8 momentum).

24Cold spellSeptemvri Sofia
Dunav Ruse · High-risk / fragileSeptemvri Sofia · cold form

Dunav Ruse

1W · 0D · 4L
Recent →LLLWL
Momentum index

Septemvri Sofia

1W · 1D · 3L
Recent →LLWLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapSeptemvri Sofia +1

Dunav Ruse

3 pts
20% wins

1W · 0D · 4L · 5 played

For
5
Against
10
Goal diff -5

Septemvri Sofia

4 pts
20% wins

1W · 1D · 3L · 5 played

For
6
Against
7
Goal diff -1

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Dunav Ruse offensive edge

    Dunav Ruse faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -14
  • Septemvri Sofia offensive edge

    Septemvri Sofia's attack (55%) vs Dunav Ruse's defense (41%).

    +14

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Dunav Ruse45
Septemvri Sofia55

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Dunav Ruse41
Septemvri Sofia59

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Dunav Ruse16
Septemvri Sofia24

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Dunav Ruse22
Septemvri Sofia78

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Dunav Ruse41
Septemvri Sofia30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Dunav Ruse43
Septemvri Sofia57

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Dunav Ruse0
Septemvri Sofia0
Dunav RuseHigh-risk / fragile
Septemvri Sofiacold form