Goal expectancy
1.15Expected goals1.19
From 31 and 31 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Dunkerque 35%, draw 28.1%, Guingamp 36.9%. From 31 and 31 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
49MixedDunkerque
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
46MixedGuingamp
Dunkerque · low scoring
Dunkerque
10W · 8D · 13LRecent →DLWWDWWDWWWDLLLDLWLWLLLLLDDLLWD
Momentum index
Guingamp
11W · 11D · 9LRecent →DDWWDLWLLDDWLLWLWDWDDDWDLWLWDLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapGuingamp +6
Dunkerque
38 pts32% wins
10W · 8D · 13L · 31 played
For30
Against43
Guingamp
44 pts35% wins
11W · 11D · 9L · 31 played
For37
Against31
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dunkerque offensive edge
Dunkerque faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Guingamp offensive edge
Guingamp's attack (50%) vs Dunkerque's defense (25%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dunkerquelow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Dunkerque25%
1Draws
2Guingamp50%