Goal expectancy
1.49Expected goals1.30
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Dunkerque
Estimated win chances: Dunkerque 41.7%, draw 25.2%, Guingamp 33.1%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingDunkerque
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
59BuildingGuingamp
Dunkerque
15W · 3D · 10LRecent →LLLWWWWLWLDDWLWWWLWLWDWWWWLL
Momentum index
Guingamp
15W · 3D · 10LRecent →WWWLDLWLWWWDLWWLWWLLLWLDWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapLevel on points
Dunkerque
48 pts54% wins
15W · 3D · 10L · 28 played
For41
Against36
Guingamp
48 pts54% wins
15W · 3D · 10L · 28 played
For46
Against33
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dunkerque offensive edge
Dunkerque faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Guingamp offensive edge
Guingamp's attack (50%) vs Dunkerque's defense (31%).
+19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Dunkerque17%
2Draws
3Guingamp50%