Durango 5-1 Acatlan Prediction

DurangoDurango
5 — 1FT
AcatlanAcatlan
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

DurangoDurangovsAcatlanAcatlan

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Durango

Estimated win chances: Durango 69.8%, draw 16.7%, Acatlan 13.5%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

2.55Expected goals1.05

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 2–110.6%
  • 2–010.1%
  • 3–19%
  • 3–08.6%
  • 1–18.3%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

78Hot streakDurango
Weighted momentum

Durango carries the sharper recent run (+60 momentum).

18Cold spellAcatlan
Durango · compact defense · hot formAcatlan · High-risk / fragile

Durango

7W · 0D · 2L
Recent →WWLWWWLWW
Momentum index

Acatlan

1W · 1D · 7L
Recent →LWLLLLLLD
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapDurango +17

Durango

21 pts
78% wins

7W · 0D · 2L · 9 played

For
26
Against
8
Goal diff +18

Acatlan

4 pts
11% wins

1W · 1D · 7L · 9 played

For
11
Against
25
Goal diff -14

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Durango offensive edge

    Durango's attack (65%) vs Acatlan's defense (24%).

    +41
  • Acatlan offensive edge

    Acatlan runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -41

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Durango65
Acatlan35

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Durango76
Acatlan24

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Durango78
Acatlan18

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Durango132
Acatlan-32

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Durango30
Acatlan59

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Durango80
Acatlan20

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Durango0
Acatlan0
Durangocompact defense · hot form
AcatlanHigh-risk / fragile