Goal expectancy
1.31Expected goals1.17
From 9 and 9 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Durango 39.8%, draw 27.1%, Basconia 33.1%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
46MixedDurango
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
53BuildingBasconia
Durango
3W · 3D · 3LRecent →DWLWLLWDD
Momentum index
Basconia
4W · 2D · 3LRecent →WDWLLWLDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBasconia +2
Durango
12 pts33% wins
3W · 3D · 3L · 9 played
For10
Against12
Basconia
14 pts44% wins
4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played
For11
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Durango offensive edge
Durango faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Basconia offensive edge
Basconia's attack (54%) vs Durango's defense (47%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 6 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Durango17%
1Draws
4Basconia67%