Goal expectancy
1.58Expected goals1.40
From 7 and 8 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Durango vs Cimarrones Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Durango 41.8%, draw 24.3%, Cimarrones 33.9%. From 7 and 8 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
44MixedDurango
Weighted momentum
Cimarrones arrives with stronger form weighting (+25 momentum).
69Hot streakCimarrones
Cimarrones · hot form
Durango
2W · 4D · 1LRecent →LDDWWDD
Momentum index
Cimarrones
5W · 1D · 2LRecent →WLWWWLWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Durango
10 pts29% wins
2W · 4D · 1L · 7 played
For12
Against9
Cimarrones
16 pts63% wins
5W · 1D · 2L · 8 played
For16
Against10
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Durango offensive edge
Durango faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-7 - Cimarrones offensive edge
Cimarrones's attack (54%) vs Durango's defense (47%).
+7
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Cimarroneshot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Durango50%
0Draws
1Cimarrones50%