Goal expectancy
1.83Expected goals0.98
From 11 and 11 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Durango 1-1 Cimarrones Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Durango 57.3%, draw 22.7%, Cimarrones 19.9%. From 11 and 11 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
84Hot streakDurango
Weighted momentum
Durango carries the sharper recent run (+27 momentum).
57BuildingCimarrones
Durango · compact defense · hot formCimarrones · compact defense
Durango
9W · 0D · 2LRecent →WWWWLWWWLWW
Momentum index
Cimarrones
6W · 3D · 2LRecent →DDWLWWLDWWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +6
Durango
27 pts82% wins
9W · 0D · 2L · 11 played
For34
Against9
Cimarrones
21 pts55% wins
6W · 3D · 2L · 11 played
For12
Against5
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Durango offensive edge
Durango's attack (90%) vs Cimarrones's defense (80%).
+10 - Cimarrones offensive edge
Cimarrones runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-10
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Durangocompact defense · hot form
Cimarronescompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Durango25%
2Draws
1Cimarrones25%