Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals0.84
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Durango 45.9%, draw 29.2%, Deusto 24.9%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
37Cold spellDurango
Weighted momentum
Durango carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).
27Cold spellDeusto
Durango · low scoring · cold formDeusto · low scoring · cold form
Durango
9W · 9D · 11LRecent →LLLWLLLWLWDLDLWWWDWWLLDDDWDDD
Momentum index
Deusto
6W · 6D · 17LRecent →WLLLWDLLLLLDLLDLLWWDLWWDLLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +12
Durango
36 pts31% wins
9W · 9D · 11L · 29 played
For29
Against30
Deusto
24 pts21% wins
6W · 6D · 17L · 29 played
For21
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Durango offensive edge
Durango faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-8 - Deusto offensive edge
Deusto's attack (44%) vs Durango's defense (36%).
+8
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Durangolow scoring · cold form
Deustolow scoring · cold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 9 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Durango33%
3Draws
3Deusto33%