Durango 1-2 Eibar III Prediction

DurangoDurango
1 — 2FT
Eibar IIIEibar III

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Durango

Estimated win chances: Durango 39.9%, draw 25.3%, Eibar Iii 34.9%. From 9 and 9 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.45Expected goals1.34

From 9 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–18.9%
  • 0–18.5%
  • 1–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

18Cold spellDurango
Weighted momentum

Eibar Iii arrives with stronger form weighting (+44 momentum).

62BuildingEibar Iii
Durango · cold form

Durango

1W · 4D · 4L
Recent →LLDDLLDDW
Momentum index

Eibar Iii

4W · 2D · 3L
Recent →WLWWWDDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapEibar Iii +7

Durango

7 pts
11% wins

1W · 4D · 4L · 9 played

For
11
Against
13
Goal diff -2

Eibar Iii

14 pts
44% wins

4W · 2D · 3L · 9 played

For
15
Against
13
Goal diff +2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Durango offensive edge

    Durango faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -33
  • Eibar Iii offensive edge

    Eibar Iii's attack (56%) vs Durango's defense (23%).

    +33

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Durango44
Eibar Iii56

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Durango23
Eibar Iii77

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Durango18
Eibar Iii62

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Durango-16
Eibar Iii116

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Durango30
Eibar Iii30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Durango14
Eibar Iii86

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Durango0
Eibar Iii0
Durangocold form