Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals0.90
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Durango 49.7%, draw 26.8%, Eibar Iii 23.5%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
48MixedDurango
Weighted momentum
Durango carries the sharper recent run (+17 momentum).
31Cold spellEibar Iii
Durango · Structured / conservativeEibar Iii · High-risk / fragile
Durango
7W · 9D · 5LRecent →LWDLDLWWWDWWLLDDDWDDD
Momentum index
Eibar Iii
5W · 5D · 11LRecent →WLDDWLDLLDLLLLWLDLWLW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDurango +10
Durango
30 pts33% wins
7W · 9D · 5L · 21 played
For19
Against17
Eibar Iii
20 pts24% wins
5W · 5D · 11L · 21 played
For22
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Durango offensive edge
Durango faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-11 - Eibar Iii offensive edge
Eibar Iii's attack (57%) vs Durango's defense (46%).
+11
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
DurangoStructured / conservative
Eibar IiiHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
0Durango0%
2Draws
1Eibar Iii33%