Goal expectancy
1.28Expected goals1.16
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Durango 3-1 San Ignacio Prediction
Balanced — model leans Durango
Estimated win chances: Durango 39.2%, draw 27.3%, San Ignacio 33.4%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
27Cold spellDurango
Weighted momentum
San Ignacio arrives with stronger form weighting (+27 momentum).
54BuildingSan Ignacio
Durango · cold formSan Ignacio · compact defense
Durango
3W · 4D · 8LRecent →LLWWLLLLDDLLDDW
Momentum index
San Ignacio
7W · 3D · 5LRecent →DWWLWLLWLWLWDWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapSan Ignacio +11
Durango
13 pts20% wins
3W · 4D · 8L · 15 played
For21
Against21
San Ignacio
24 pts47% wins
7W · 3D · 5L · 15 played
For16
Against12
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Durango offensive edge
Durango faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-15 - San Ignacio offensive edge
San Ignacio's attack (40%) vs Durango's defense (25%).
+15
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Durangocold form
San Ignaciocompact defense
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Durango40%
2Draws
1San Ignacio20%