Goal expectancy
0.94Expected goals1.32
From 10 and 10 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Dynamo Khmelnytskyi 2-3 Desna Prediction
Balanced — model leans Desna
Estimated win chances: Dynamo Khmelnytskyi 26.6%, draw 28%, Desna 45.4%. From 10 and 10 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
40MixedDynamo Khmelnytskyi
Weighted momentum
Desna arrives with stronger form weighting (+40 momentum).
80Hot streakDesna
Dynamo Khmelnytskyi · low scoringDesna · compact defense · hot form
Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
2W · 4D · 4LRecent →WLDDWDLLDL
Momentum index
Desna
7W · 3D · 0LRecent →DWWWWDWWDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDesna +14
Dynamo Khmelnytskyi
10 pts20% wins
2W · 4D · 4L · 10 played
For6
Against11
Desna
24 pts70% wins
7W · 3D · 0L · 10 played
For19
Against6
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dynamo Khmelnytskyi offensive edge
Dynamo Khmelnytskyi faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-19 - Desna offensive edge
Desna's attack (69%) vs Dynamo Khmelnytskyi's defense (50%).
+19
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dynamo Khmelnytskyilow scoring
Desnacompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Dynamo Khmelnytskyi50%
0Draws
2Desna50%