Goal expectancy
1.82Expected goals1.26
From 16 and 17 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Dynamo Le Moule 1-1 Red Star Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Dynamo Le Moule
Estimated win chances: Dynamo Le Moule 50.5%, draw 23%, Red Star 26.5%. From 16 and 17 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
55BuildingDynamo Le Moule
Weighted momentum
Dynamo Le Moule carries the sharper recent run (+28 momentum).
27Cold spellRed Star
Dynamo Le Moule · leaky defenseRed Star · High-risk / fragile
Dynamo Le Moule
6W · 2D · 8LRecent →DWWWWWLLLLWDLLLL
Momentum index
Red Star
4W · 2D · 11LRecent →LDLLWLLWWLLLDLWLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Dynamo Le Moule
20 pts38% wins
6W · 2D · 8L · 16 played
For29
Against30
Red Star
14 pts24% wins
4W · 2D · 11L · 17 played
For15
Against29
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dynamo Le Moule offensive edge
Dynamo Le Moule's attack (73%) vs Red Star's defense (33%).
+40 - Red Star offensive edge
Red Star runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-40
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Dynamo Le Mouleleaky defense
Red StarHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 2 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Dynamo Le Moule50%
0Draws
1Red Star50%