Goal expectancy
1.61Expected goals1.09
From 16 and 16 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Dynamo
Estimated win chances: Dynamo 49.4%, draw 24.8%, Rubin 25.7%. From 16 and 16 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
61BuildingDynamo
Weighted momentum
Momentum is balanced — recent results cancel out.
64BuildingRubin
Rubin · low scoring
Dynamo
7W · 7D · 2LRecent →WWDWDDDLDWDWWWDL
Momentum index
Rubin
7W · 4D · 5LRecent →WWWWDWLWLLDWLLDD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapDynamo +3
Dynamo
28 pts44% wins
7W · 7D · 2L · 16 played
For27
Against21
Rubin
25 pts44% wins
7W · 4D · 5L · 16 played
For16
Against20
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Dynamo offensive edge
Dynamo faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-33 - Rubin offensive edge
Rubin's attack (33%) vs Dynamo's defense (0%).
+33
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Rubinlow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 5 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Dynamo60%
1Draws
1Rubin20%