Goal expectancy
1.77Expected goals1.50
From 30 and 30 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Echichens 3-0 Châtel-St-Denis Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Echichens
Estimated win chances: Echichens 44.2%, draw 22.9%, Châtel-st-denis 32.8%. From 30 and 30 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
38Cold spellEchichens
Weighted momentum
Echichens carries the sharper recent run (+8 momentum).
30Cold spellChâtel-st-denis
Echichens · High-risk / fragileChâtel-st-denis · High-risk / fragile
Echichens
10W · 8D · 12LRecent →DWDLDLLLDLLDLWDDWWLWWWDWLWLWLL
Momentum index
Châtel-st-denis
11W · 4D · 15LRecent →LLDLWLLLWLLLLLLDWLDWWLWWWDWLWW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEchichens +1
Echichens
38 pts33% wins
10W · 8D · 12L · 30 played
For46
Against53
Châtel-st-denis
37 pts37% wins
11W · 4D · 15L · 30 played
For48
Against55
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Echichens offensive edge
Echichens faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-4 - Châtel-st-denis offensive edge
Châtel-st-denis's attack (64%) vs Echichens's defense (60%).
+4
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
EchichensHigh-risk / fragile
Châtel-st-denisHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Echichens0%
1Draws
0Châtel-st-denis0%