Goal expectancy
1.77Expected goals1.03
From 29 and 29 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Echichens 5-0 Châtel-St-Denis Prediction
Balanced — model leans Echichens
Estimated win chances: Echichens 54.7%, draw 23.4%, Châtel-st-denis 21.9%. From 29 and 29 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
43MixedEchichens
Weighted momentum
Echichens carries the sharper recent run (+22 momentum).
21Cold spellChâtel-st-denis
Châtel-st-denis · High-risk / fragile
Echichens
8W · 9D · 12LRecent →LWDWWDDDWDLLLWWDLLLLLLWDDWLLD
Momentum index
Châtel-st-denis
4W · 5D · 20LRecent →LLLLDWLDLWLWLDLLLLLLLLLWDLLLD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEchichens +16
Echichens
33 pts28% wins
8W · 9D · 12L · 29 played
For35
Against47
Châtel-st-denis
17 pts14% wins
4W · 5D · 20L · 29 played
For18
Against62
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Echichens offensive edge
Echichens's attack (64%) vs Châtel-st-denis's defense (22%).
+42 - Châtel-st-denis offensive edge
Châtel-st-denis runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-42
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Châtel-st-denisHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Echichens33%
1Draws
1Châtel-st-denis33%