Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.19
From 28 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Eibar Iii
Estimated win chances: Eibar Iii 42.8%, draw 26%, Touring 31.2%. From 28 and 28 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialHigh
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedEibar Iii
Weighted momentum
Touring arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
53BuildingTouring
Eibar Iii
10W · 9D · 9LRecent →LDDWLDLLDWLLDWDDWWWWLWWWDDLL
Momentum index
Touring
12W · 7D · 9LRecent →LWWWWLWWLWDDLLDLLDLWDWDLWWWD
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapTouring +4
Eibar Iii
39 pts36% wins
10W · 9D · 9L · 28 played
For37
Against41
Touring
43 pts43% wins
12W · 7D · 9L · 28 played
For32
Against35
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Eibar Iii offensive edge
Eibar Iii faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-27 - Touring offensive edge
Touring's attack (50%) vs Eibar Iii's defense (23%).
+27
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
H2H in this snapshot
From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.
0Eibar Iii0%
0Draws
1Touring100%