Eibar 5-1 Eldense Prediction

EibarEibar
5 — 1FT
EldenseEldense
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

EibarEibarvsEldenseEldense

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Balanced — model leans Eibar

Estimated win chances: Eibar 46%, draw 25.4%, Eldense 28.6%. From 32 and 32 competition matches.

TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.53Expected goals1.15

From 32 and 32 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 0–18.1%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

54BuildingEibar
Weighted momentum

Eibar carries the sharper recent run (+10 momentum).

44MixedEldense

Eibar

15W · 7D · 10L
Recent →LWLWLDWDWWWDLDLWLDDWWDWWWWWLLLWL
Momentum index

Eldense

10W · 12D · 10L
Recent →LDLWWLDDWWDDDDLLDWWWDDWLLLDDLWLW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapEibar +10

Eibar

52 pts
47% wins

15W · 7D · 10L · 32 played

For
49
Against
37
Goal diff +12

Eldense

42 pts
31% wins

10W · 12D · 10L · 32 played

For
40
Against
42
Goal diff -2

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Eibar offensive edge

    Eibar faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -4
  • Eldense offensive edge

    Eldense's attack (46%) vs Eibar's defense (42%).

    +4

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Eibar54
Eldense46

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Eibar42
Eldense58

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Eibar54
Eldense44

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Eibar42
Eldense58

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Eibar30
Eldense30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Eibar46
Eldense54

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Eibar0
Eldense100

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

1Eibar100%
0Draws
0Eldense0%

Recent meetings

Eldense
2 – 1FT
Eibar

Segunda DivisiónRound 3