Goal expectancy
1.44Expected goals1.36
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Ekranas 39.2%, draw 25.3%, Bfa 35.6%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
17Cold spellEkranas
Weighted momentum
Bfa arrives with stronger form weighting (+36 momentum).
53BuildingBfa
Ekranas · High-risk / fragile
Ekranas
2W · 1D · 12LRecent →LLLLLWDWLLLLLLL
Momentum index
Bfa
7W · 1D · 7LRecent →WWLLWWLLLWWDLWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapBfa +15
Ekranas
7 pts13% wins
2W · 1D · 12L · 15 played
For15
Against29
Bfa
22 pts47% wins
7W · 1D · 7L · 15 played
For18
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ekranas offensive edge
Ekranas faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-35 - Bfa offensive edge
Bfa's attack (63%) vs Ekranas's defense (27%).
+36
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
EkranasHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 10 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
7Ekranas70%
2Draws
1Bfa10%