Goal expectancy
2.18Expected goals0.84
From 27 and 28 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Open / transitional — model leans Ekranas
Estimated win chances: Ekranas 68%, draw 18.8%, Vilnius 13.2%. From 27 and 28 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialLow
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
76Hot streakEkranas
Weighted momentum
Ekranas carries the sharper recent run (+58 momentum).
18Cold spellVilnius
Ekranas · compact defense · hot formVilnius · High-risk / fragile
Ekranas
19W · 7D · 1LRecent →DWWDDWWWWDWWDDDWWWWWWWWWWWL
Momentum index
Vilnius
5W · 4D · 19LRecent →LLLLLLLLLLLLWDWWLWLDLLWDLDLL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Ekranas
64 pts70% wins
19W · 7D · 1L · 27 played
For59
Against21
Vilnius
19 pts18% wins
5W · 4D · 19L · 28 played
For26
Against57
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Ekranas offensive edge
Ekranas's attack (73%) vs Vilnius's defense (23%).
+50 - Vilnius offensive edge
Vilnius runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-50
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Ekranascompact defense · hot form
VilniusHigh-risk / fragile
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
1Ekranas33%
0Draws
2Vilnius67%