Goal expectancy
1.17Expected goals1.12
From 21 and 21 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — too close to call
Estimated win chances: Eldense 37%, draw 28.4%, Eibar 34.5%. From 21 and 21 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceLow
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
29Cold spellEldense
Weighted momentum
Eibar arrives with stronger form weighting (+11 momentum).
40MixedEibar
Eldense · low scoring · cold formEibar · low scoring
Eldense
5W · 6D · 10LRecent →DLDLDLWWLLLDLLWDLWLDW
Momentum index
Eibar
8W · 4D · 9LRecent →DLWLWLWLLLWLWLLDWWDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEibar +7
Eldense
21 pts24% wins
5W · 6D · 10L · 21 played
For21
Against29
Eibar
28 pts38% wins
8W · 4D · 9L · 21 played
For20
Against22
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Eldense offensive edge
Eldense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-25 - Eibar offensive edge
Eibar's attack (75%) vs Eldense's defense (50%).
+25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Eldenselow scoring · cold form
Eibarlow scoring
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Eldense100%
0Draws
0Eibar0%