Goal expectancy
1.07Expected goals1.34
From 5 and 5 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Balanced — model leans Eibar
Estimated win chances: Eldense 29.8%, draw 27.3%, Eibar 42.9%. From 5 and 5 competition matches.
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleBalanced
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
42MixedEldense
Weighted momentum
Eibar arrives with stronger form weighting (+46 momentum).
88Hot streakEibar
Eldense · low scoringEibar · compact defense · hot form
Eldense
1W · 2D · 2LRecent →WDLDL
Momentum index
Eibar
4W · 0D · 1LRecent →WWWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEibar +7
Eldense
5 pts20% wins
1W · 2D · 2L · 5 played
For3
Against6
Eibar
12 pts80% wins
4W · 0D · 1L · 5 played
For10
Against3
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Eldense offensive edge
Eldense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.
-44 - Eibar offensive edge
Eibar's attack (77%) vs Eldense's defense (33%).
+44
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Eldenselow scoring
Eibarcompact defense · hot form
H2H in this snapshot
From 4 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
3Eldense75%
0Draws
1Eibar25%