Eldense 1-2 Leganes Prediction

EldenseEldense
1 — 2FT
LeganesLeganes
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

EldenseEldensevsLeganesLeganes

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Defensive grind — model leans Leganes

Estimated win chances: Eldense 29.9%, draw 28.6%, Leganes 41.4%. From 37 and 37 competition matches.

Low tempo / cagey
TempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.00Expected goals1.23

From 37 and 37 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 0–113.4%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–010.9%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 0–28.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

35Cold spellEldense
Weighted momentum

Leganes arrives with stronger form weighting (+18 momentum).

53BuildingLeganes
Eldense · cold formLeganes · compact defense

Eldense

10W · 13D · 14L
Recent →DLLLLLDLWWLDDWWDDDDLLDWWWDDWLLLDDLWLW
Momentum index

Leganes

17W · 13D · 7L
Recent →DDDDDWWWLLWDDLWWDDDLDDWWWWWDLWWLWWWWL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapLeganes +21

Eldense

43 pts
27% wins

10W · 13D · 14L · 37 played

For
41
Against
51
Goal diff -10

Leganes

64 pts
46% wins

17W · 13D · 7L · 37 played

For
48
Against
22
Goal diff +26

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Eldense offensive edge

    Eldense faces a stingier defense than their attack rating suggests.

    -40
  • Leganes offensive edge

    Leganes's attack (50%) vs Eldense's defense (10%).

    +40

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Eldense50
Leganes50

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Eldense10
Leganes90

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Eldense35
Leganes53

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Eldense-30
Leganes130

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Eldense30
Leganes30

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Eldense17
Leganes83

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Eldense50
Leganes50
Eldensecold form
Leganescompact defense

H2H in this snapshot

From 1 meeting included in this prediction snapshot.

0Eldense0%
1Draws
0Leganes0%

Recent meetings

Leganes
1 – 1FT
Eldense

Segunda DivisiónRound 19