Goal expectancy
1.73Expected goals1.12
From 15 and 15 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Elsautoise 2-2 Gouvy Prediction
Open / transitional — model leans Elsautoise
Estimated win chances: Elsautoise 51.6%, draw 23.7%, Gouvy 24.6%. From 15 and 15 competition matches.
TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
69Hot streakElsautoise
Weighted momentum
Elsautoise carries the sharper recent run (+30 momentum).
39Cold spellGouvy
Elsautoise · compact defense · hot formGouvy · cold form
Elsautoise
8W · 4D · 3LRecent →WDDWWWWDWLWDWLL
Momentum index
Gouvy
5W · 3D · 7LRecent →LWLWLLWLDWLLDDW
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapElsautoise +10
Elsautoise
28 pts53% wins
8W · 4D · 3L · 15 played
For26
Against14
Gouvy
18 pts33% wins
5W · 3D · 7L · 15 played
For22
Against24
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Elsautoise offensive edge
Elsautoise's attack (69%) vs Gouvy's defense (30%).
+39 - Gouvy offensive edge
Gouvy runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-39
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Elsautoisecompact defense · hot form
Gouvycold form
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Elsautoise67%
0Draws
1Gouvy33%