Goal expectancy
1.25Expected goals0.87
From 12 and 12 competition matches
Likely scorelines (Poisson)
Defensive grind — model leans Emelec
Estimated win chances: Emelec 45.1%, draw 29.1%, Macara 25.8%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.
Low tempo / cageyTempoMedium
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsLow
Tactical styleDefensive grind
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskHigh
Model confidenceMedium
Outcome model
Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.
Form & momentum
Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.
54BuildingEmelec
Weighted momentum
Emelec carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).
36Cold spellMacara
Emelec · compact defenseMacara · Structured / conservative
Emelec
5W · 6D · 1LRecent →DWDLWDDDWWDW
Momentum index
Macara
3W · 6D · 3LRecent →DLLDDWDDDWWL
Momentum index
Form split comparison
Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window
Season record
League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.
Table gapEmelec +6
Emelec
21 pts42% wins
5W · 6D · 1L · 12 played
For15
Against10
Macara
15 pts25% wins
3W · 6D · 3L · 12 played
For10
Against9
Season shape comparison
League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals
League depth signals
Matchup edges
Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.
- Emelec offensive edge
Emelec's attack (89%) vs Macara's defense (64%).
+25 - Macara offensive edge
Macara runs into a stronger home defensive profile.
-25
Team comparison
Comparison indices from the match data partner.
Emeleccompact defense
MacaraStructured / conservative
H2H in this snapshot
From 3 meetings included in this prediction snapshot.
2Emelec67%
0Draws
1Macara33%