Emmen 3-3 Thalwil Prediction

EmmenEmmen
3 — 3FT
ThalwilThalwil

Updated

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Emmen

Estimated win chances: Emmen 49.2%, draw 22.9%, Thalwil 27.9%. From 7 and 9 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityMedium
Expected goalsHigh
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskLow
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.82Expected goals1.32

From 7 and 9 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 1–27.2%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

48MixedEmmen
Weighted momentum

Emmen carries the sharper recent run (+18 momentum).

30Cold spellThalwil
Emmen · leaky defenseThalwil · High-risk / fragile

Emmen

3W · 0D · 4L
Recent →WLWLLWL
Momentum index

Thalwil

2W · 2D · 5L
Recent →WDLLLLLDW
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Emmen

9 pts
43% wins

3W · 0D · 4L · 7 played

For
13
Against
16
Goal diff -3

Thalwil

8 pts
22% wins

2W · 2D · 5L · 9 played

For
7
Against
16
Goal diff -9

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Emmen offensive edge

    Emmen's attack (69%) vs Thalwil's defense (50%).

    +19
  • Thalwil offensive edge

    Thalwil runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -19

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Emmen69
Thalwil31

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Emmen50
Thalwil50

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Emmen48
Thalwil30

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Emmen88
Thalwil12

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Emmen48
Thalwil37

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Emmen60
Thalwil40

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Emmen0
Thalwil0
Emmenleaky defense
ThalwilHigh-risk / fragile