Model outlook versus market-implied chances (overround removed from decimal odds). For entertainment and analysis only — not betting advice.
Estimated outcome mix from Sportra's pre-match model
No prematch 1X2 odds snapshot available.
No in-play odds snapshot was captured for this match.
Visual snapshot of possession, chance quality, and shooting.
Possession
Expected goals (xG)
Total shots
Shots on target
Recorded meetings: 3 (available previous meetings, not necessarily all-time).
NATHAN SALT AT THE LONDON PALLADIUM: Harry Kane has won the Ballon d'Or, becoming the first English player in 25 years to be crowned the world's best player.
OLIVER HOLT: It is July 10 2024, a couple of hours after goals from Harry Kane and Ollie Watkins have taken England past the Netherlands in Dortmund and into the final of Euro…
England captain Harry Kane, Spain and Barcelona star Lamine Yamal and Real Madrid forward Kylian Mbappe are viewed as the frontrunners to land the top prize on the night.
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England created the clearer chances on xG (0.80 vs 0.15, Δ 0.65). England fired more attempts (12 vs 4 shots). England was more accurate in front of goal (33% on target vs 25%). England held more of the ball (73% possession).
England underperformed their xG by 0.8 goals (0 scored vs 0.80 xG).