Ensenada 0-0 UA Zacatecas Prediction

EnsenadaEnsenada
0 — 0FT
UA ZacatecasUA Zacatecas
OverviewLineupsStatisticsStandingsEventsPlayersPredictionsFormInjuriesH2H

Updated

EnsenadaEnsenadavsUa ZacatecasUa Zacatecas

Match DNA · Predictions ↗

Open / transitional — model leans Ensenada

Estimated win chances: Ensenada 52.4%, draw 23.1%, Ua Zacatecas 24.5%. From 12 and 12 competition matches.

TempoHigh
VolatilityLow
Expected goalsMedium
Tactical styleOpen / transitional
Upset potentialMedium
Draw riskMedium
Model confidenceHigh

Outcome model

Sportra's estimate from each team's season goal rates. It is a statistical guide, not betting advice.

Goal expectancy

1.80Expected goals1.16

From 12 and 12 competition matches

Likely scorelines (Poisson)

  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–110.2%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 1–26.6%

Form & momentum

Weighted momentum, recent result run, and form-window W–D–L — the live pulse before kickoff.

50MixedEnsenada
Weighted momentum

Ensenada carries the sharper recent run (+23 momentum).

27Cold spellUa Zacatecas
Ua Zacatecas · High-risk / fragile

Ensenada

6W · 1D · 5L
Recent →WLLWLLWWDWWL
Momentum index

Ua Zacatecas

3W · 1D · 8L
Recent →LWLLLLLWWDLL
Momentum index

Form split comparison

Wins, draws, and losses across the sampled form window

Season record

League totals anchoring the snapshot — points, goal balance, and season shape vs opponent.

Table gapEnsenada +9

Ensenada

19 pts
50% wins

6W · 1D · 5L · 12 played

For
15
Against
14
Goal diff +1

Ua Zacatecas

10 pts
25% wins

3W · 1D · 8L · 12 played

For
15
Against
26
Goal diff -11

Season shape comparison

League table W–D–L, goal balance, and form-run counts from league profile signals

League depth signals

Extremes, discipline windows, and split stats from the full league profile.

Matchup edges

Attack vs opponent defense in the matchup comparison.

  • Ensenada offensive edge

    Ensenada's attack (56%) vs Ua Zacatecas's defense (39%).

    +17
  • Ua Zacatecas offensive edge

    Ua Zacatecas runs into a stronger home defensive profile.

    -17

Team comparison

Comparison indices from the match data partner.

Attack rating

Attacking threat in the final third.

Ensenada56
Ua Zacatecas44

Defense rating

How well each side limits chances.

Ensenada61
Ua Zacatecas39

Momentum

Weighted form score (recent results count more).

Ensenada50
Ua Zacatecas27

Matchup edge

Attack vs opponent defense (positive = favourable matchup).

Ensenada84
Ua Zacatecas16

Volatility

Higher = more swingy results (big losses, goals against).

Ensenada30
Ua Zacatecas45

Form index

Head-to-head form comparison from the model.

Ensenada67
Ua Zacatecas33

H2H pull

Historical dominance in recent meetings.

Ensenada0
Ua Zacatecas0
Ua ZacatecasHigh-risk / fragile